Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.001082 0.001120 0.001159 0.001201 0.001246 0.001293 0.001345
2025-08-31 0.001028 0.001085 0.001145 0.001213 0.001289 0.001370 0.001464
2025-09-07 0.000980 0.001050 0.001126 0.001215 0.001317 0.001430 0.001566
2025-09-14 0.000932 0.001012 0.001099 0.001203 0.001326 0.001466 0.001642
2025-09-21 0.000890 0.000976 0.001071 0.001187 0.001327 0.001492 0.001704
2025-09-28 0.000859 0.000949 0.001052 0.001179 0.001335 0.001524 0.001775
2025-10-05 0.000815 0.000907 0.001011 0.001143 0.001307 0.001508 0.001782
2025-10-12 0.000791 0.000885 0.000995 0.001134 0.001311 0.001532 0.001840
2025-10-19 0.000774 0.000872 0.000987 0.001135 0.001326 0.001570 0.001919
2025-10-26 0.000754 0.000853 0.000972 0.001126 0.001327 0.001589 0.001972
2025-11-02 0.000740 0.000842 0.000965 0.001127 0.001342 0.001626 0.002053
2025-11-09 0.000724 0.000828 0.000954 0.001121 0.001346 0.001649 0.002114
2025-11-16 0.000707 0.000811 0.000939 0.001111 0.001344 0.001663 0.002164
2025-11-23 0.000702 0.000810 0.000944 0.001126 0.001378 0.001731 0.002302
2025-11-30 0.000692 0.000802 0.000940 0.001130 0.001397 0.001777 0.002408
2025-12-07 0.000677 0.000788 0.000927 0.001121 0.001395 0.001792 0.002467
2025-12-14 0.000661 0.000772 0.000912 0.001107 0.001387 0.001797 0.002507
2025-12-21 0.000649 0.000760 0.000901 0.001100 0.001388 0.001815 0.002571
2025-12-28 0.000627 0.000736 0.000873 0.001068 0.001351 0.001773 0.002525
2026-01-04 0.000616 0.000725 0.000863 0.001061 0.001349 0.001787 0.002580
2026-01-11 0.000609 0.000718 0.000859 0.001061 0.001360 0.001820 0.002675
2026-01-18 0.000598 0.000708 0.000849 0.001053 0.001357 0.001830 0.002726
2026-01-25 0.000592 0.000702 0.000846 0.001054 0.001368 0.001865 0.002827